The Other Two Futures One is the largest capital misallocation in history. The other is the outcome everyone wants but nobody is building for. Part 4 of 5.
Disruption Without Redemption In this future, AI works. That's the problem. The gains are real, they accrue to the owners of the compounding asset, and almost no one else. Part 3 of 5.
The Cascade: How AI Ends Up Owned by the Government A timestamped public prediction, in four steps. The President will pivot to anti-AI populism. The financial crisis will trigger a bailout. The bailout will become ownership. Here is the sequence — and the only intervention that works.