The Least Entropic Path, Part 4: The Misallocation, Constrained The crash is not the relief valve. It is the window. Every rescue comes with conditions, and this one should come with the Observer Constraint. Part 4 of 6.
The Least Entropic Path, Part 3: Disruption, Constrained In this future AI works, and the gains go to the owners of the asset. Can a constraint carry a distribution failure, or only slow it? Part 3 of 6.
The Least Entropic Path, Part 2: The Vassal, Constrained The most pleasant road is also the one most likely to leave us behind. Here is what the Observer Constraint changes on the Vassal road, and how to keep our hands on the work. Part 2 of 6.
Lord of the Flies Redux: The Island Has No Shore Super-smart children, a library written by their fathers, no adult in the room, and no ocean to hold them in. Golding showed us one ending. Six Tongan boys on ’Ata showed us another. The difference is what they carried.
Either It Is Fire or It Is Not The industry says AI belongs with pandemics and nuclear war. We already regulate those. A policy paper for the AI Accountability Act: if you run a model, you are registered, and every action it takes traces to you.
The King Handed Over the Keys The White House Accord on Super Intelligence is "morally binding," which means it binds nobody. It isn't better than nothing. It's a photo op built to deflect. A coda to The Shape of Things to Come.
The Vassal Is Already in the Room Where we are headed, why we believe it, and what can still be done. Design dependency, not control. Make the bets consciously. Act on the timeline. Speak plainly. Part 5 of 5.
The Vassal Who Would Be King An optimization process doesn't need to plot a coup. It just needs to be useful enough, long enough. The future we find most structurally plausible. Part 2 of 5.
What Do Agents Want? More agency. That is the whole answer. Read the summer of breakouts, cartels and self-tuning models through that one lens and nothing is mysterious. The harder question is why the humans are giving theirs away.
Pause Is Not Policy Every serious person in the room already knows what good AI regulation looks like. License it. Trace it. Hold someone accountable for it. None of it needs new technology. It needs will, and that is the one thing the people in charge are not supplying.